Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004126 0.004340 0.004559 0.004801 0.005061 0.005333 0.005639
2025-08-31 0.003733 0.004047 0.004382 0.004770 0.005206 0.005685 0.006252
2025-09-07 0.003462 0.003827 0.004229 0.004707 0.005263 0.005893 0.006669
2025-09-14 0.003251 0.003648 0.004096 0.004640 0.005291 0.006049 0.007012
2025-09-21 0.003118 0.003546 0.004037 0.004647 0.005393 0.006286 0.007452
2025-09-28 0.002923 0.003358 0.003864 0.004504 0.005299 0.006271 0.007570
2025-10-05 0.002824 0.003278 0.003813 0.004500 0.005372 0.006459 0.007949
2025-10-12 0.002774 0.003253 0.003826 0.004574 0.005541 0.006773 0.008505
2025-10-19 0.002679 0.003167 0.003758 0.004539 0.005566 0.006898 0.008810
2025-10-26 0.002596 0.003092 0.003700 0.004514 0.005599 0.007031 0.009131
2025-11-02 0.002517 0.003019 0.003640 0.004481 0.005619 0.007145 0.009426
2025-11-09 0.002488 0.003007 0.003658 0.004550 0.005776 0.007452 0.010016
2025-11-16 0.002422 0.002947 0.003610 0.004532 0.005814 0.007596 0.010377
2025-11-23 0.002355 0.002883 0.003556 0.004501 0.005833 0.007712 0.010703
2025-11-30 0.002282 0.002808 0.003485 0.004443 0.005810 0.007764 0.010929
2025-12-07 0.002212 0.002735 0.003413 0.004382 0.005778 0.007800 0.011130
2025-12-14 0.002171 0.002700 0.003391 0.004388 0.005843 0.007983 0.011576
2025-12-21 0.002081 0.002597 0.003274 0.004256 0.005699 0.007840 0.011476
2025-12-28 0.002043 0.002562 0.003248 0.004253 0.005746 0.007992 0.011877
2026-01-04 0.002031 0.002563 0.003271 0.004321 0.005901 0.008319 0.012596
2026-01-11 0.001986 0.002516 0.003228 0.004289 0.005902 0.008401 0.012894
2026-01-18 0.001946 0.002475 0.003190 0.004265 0.005915 0.008502 0.013229
2026-01-25 0.001905 0.002433 0.003150 0.004235 0.005916 0.008582 0.013532